Gyeongnam FC 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Apr 2024

Gyeongnam FC
1-0 HT 1-0
Jeonnam Dragons
📅17/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Gyeongnam FC vs Jeonnam Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.75
6+ Goals
13%
15.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.75 — our 25% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.6pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gyeongnam FC v Jeonnam Dragons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.25/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/1.91
-12% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Gyeongnam FC vs Jeonnam Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
297 Passes 270
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
16.07.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
05.03.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-5 HT 0-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
02.10.2022 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
06.07.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
12.06.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-2 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC squeezed past Jeonnam Dragons 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gyeongnam FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.33 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Gyeongnam FC 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 44%, draw 28%, Jeonnam Dragons 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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