Gangwon 3-1 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.95
Over 2.5
39%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 20%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.00/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.43
+9% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hwaseong
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
27.04.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOK
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon beat Hwaseong 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gangwon as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Hwaseong?

Gangwon 3-1 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 53%, draw 26%, Hwaseong 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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