Incheon United 1-0 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-12.3pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.2pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 12%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
3.00/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+43% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United edged past Gimhae City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gimhae City?

Incheon United 1-0 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 61%, draw 17%, Gimhae City 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Over 2.5
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