Seongnam 1-0 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.10/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.96
-31% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 74%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
16.3 Crosses 19.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Suwon City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.17 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
333 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 1-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
28.08.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
18.05.2022 Seongnam Seongnam 2-2 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
03.04.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 3-4 HT 1-2 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
22.09.2021 Suwon City Suwon City 3-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
29.05.2021 Seongnam Seongnam 2-3 HT 0-2 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam nicked a narrow win over Suwon City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Seongnam found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Seongnam and 2.33 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Suwon City?

Seongnam 1-0 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 33%, draw 30%, Suwon City 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Suwon City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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