El Geish 0-4 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 Jul 2024

📅01/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.7pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.4pp
56%
Away Win
71%
-15.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 75%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
0.80/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.71
+10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -28%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 84%
11.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
14.4 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.44 xG 1.41
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
212 Passes 440
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2023 El Geish El Geish 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
02.12.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
27.08.2022 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
27.04.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
21.09.2021 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSRSK
17.08.2021 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
0-4
AWAY Al Ahly
1.30 xG 3.34
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
163 Passes 490
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly swept aside El Geish 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, El Geish had 30% of the ball to Al Ahly's 70%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 1.30 to 3.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for El Geish and 0.67 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Al Ahly?

El Geish 0-4 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split El Geish 20%, draw 25%, Al Ahly 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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