Cuiaba 0-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 1 Jul 2025

Cuiaba
0-1 HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
📅01/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.71
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cuiaba v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.60/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.25
+9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
23.2 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.26 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.12.2020 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
01.09.2020 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-1 HT 0-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
23.11.2019 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
24.08.2019 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2

Cuiaba 0-1 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
0-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.98 xG 1.47
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
478 Passes 221
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP squeezed past Cuiaba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cuiaba at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cuiaba had 66% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 34%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.98 to 1.47 — on chances, Cuiaba could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cuiaba had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Cuiaba and 0.25 for Botafogo SP.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP?

Cuiaba 0-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 51%, draw 27%, Botafogo SP 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cuiaba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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