Paysandu 2-1 Ferroviaria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 1 Jul 2025

📅01/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferroviaria EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.52/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.05
-36% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +71%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
29.9 Crosses 11.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
2-1
AWAY Ferroviaria
0.53 xG 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
203 Passes 199
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Ferroviaria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paysandu squeezed past Ferroviaria 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paysandu as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paysandu had 51% of the ball to Ferroviaria's 49%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.53 to 0.83.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Ferroviaria?

Paysandu 2-1 Ferroviaria in the Brazil - Serie B on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Ferroviaria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 46%, draw 27%, Ferroviaria 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paysandu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paysandu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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