Belarus (K) 2-0 Azerbaycan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Jul 2025

📅01/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.3
Draw
13%
4.81
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
73%
+3.9pp
13%
Draw
18%
-4.8pp
10%
Away Win
10%
+0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.0pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belarus (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Azerbaycan (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.60/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/2.07
+14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
486 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belarus (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Azerbaycan (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.06.2025 Belarus (K) Belarus (K) 3-0 Azerbaycan (K) Azerbaycan (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belarus (K)
2-0
AWAY Azerbaycan (K)
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Belarus (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belarus (K) beat Azerbaycan (K) 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Belarus (K) as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Belarus (K) had 63% of the ball to Azerbaycan (K)'s 37%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of Belarus (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)?

Belarus (K) 2-0 Azerbaycan (K) in the Friendlies on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belarus (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belarus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Belarus (K) 77%, draw 13%, Azerbaycan (K) 10%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belarus (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belarus (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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