Belarus (K) 3-0 Azerbaycan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jun 2025

Belarus (K)
3-0
Azerbaycan (K)
📅28/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Belarus (K) vs Azerbaycan (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Belarus (K) win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.0pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Belarus (K) v Azerbaycan (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belarus (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Azerbaycan (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-49% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
431 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Belarus (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belarus (K) ran out comfortable winners over Azerbaycan (K) 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Belarus (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Belarus (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)?

Belarus (K) 3-0 Azerbaycan (K) in the Friendlies on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belarus (K) vs Azerbaycan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belarus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Belarus (K) 56%, draw 23%, Azerbaycan (K) 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belarus (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belarus (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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