Airdrieonians 1-2 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.3pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Airdrieonians
1-2
AWAY Penybont
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont squeezed past Airdrieonians 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Airdrieonians at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Airdrieonians had 51% of the ball to Penybont's 49%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs Penybont?

Airdrieonians 1-2 Penybont in the Friendlies on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airdrieonians win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 46%, draw 25%, Penybont 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Airdrieonians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Airdrieonians) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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