Kanada (K) 4-1 Kosta Rika (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jun 2025

Kanada (K)
4-1 HT 0-1
Kosta Rika (K)
📅28/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

Kanada (K) vs Kosta Rika (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.67
No
55%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.56
2-3 Goals
36%
2.14
4-5 Goals
28%
2.4
6+ Goals
14%
4.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.0pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.1pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+5.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
33%
+11.8pp
55%
BTTS No
67%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kanada (K) v Kosta Rika (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosta Rika (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.97/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.46
+4% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +111%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.5
22.6 Crosses 7.8
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Kanada (K) vs Kosta Rika (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Kosta Rika (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.67 xG 0.22
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
423 Passes 210
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
36 Box Touches 6
28 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Kosta Rika (K) Kosta Rika (K) GKK
29.02.2024 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Kosta Rika (K) Kosta Rika (K) GKK
12.10.2018 Kosta Rika (K) Kosta Rika (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) Kuzey / Orta Amerika - Kadınlar DK CONCACAF Elemeleri

Kanada (K) 4-1 Kosta Rika (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada (K)
4-1
AWAY Kosta Rika (K)
2.17 xG 0.32
77% Ball Possession 23%
20 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
440 Passes 75
85% Pass Accuracy 48%
49 Box Touches 5
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kanada (K) vs Kosta Rika (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada (K) cruised past Kosta Rika (K) 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kanada (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Kanada (K) had 77% of the ball to Kosta Rika (K)'s 23%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 2.17 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kanada (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kanada (K) and 0.33 for Kosta Rika (K).

What was the final score of Kanada (K) vs Kosta Rika (K)?

Kanada (K) 4-1 Kosta Rika (K) in the Friendlies on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada (K) vs Kosta Rika (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Kanada (K) 69%, draw 18%, Kosta Rika (K) 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanada (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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