Shabab Baalbeck 0-3 Bourj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 1 Jul 2025

📅01/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Baalbeck EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourj EU Bookmakers 53%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
0.34/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-53% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
200 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Baalbeck
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bourj
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.06.2025 Shabab Baalbeck 0-1 HT 0-0 Bourj LUBN
POST-MATCH Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourj cruised past Shabab Baalbeck 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bourj as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

What was the final score of Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj?

Shabab Baalbeck 0-3 Bourj in the Lebanon - Premier League on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Baalbeck vs Bourj?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bourj win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shabab Baalbeck 25%, draw 27%, Bourj 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourj), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bourj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
1 Jul 2025
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