Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Boyaca Chico — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Boyaca Chico
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Boyaca Chico — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin squeezed past Boyaca Chico 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 53% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 47%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.42 to 0.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boyaca Chico led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.17 for Boyaca Chico.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico?
Independiente Medellin 1-0 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Boyaca Chico?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 54%, draw 25%, Boyaca Chico 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.