Boyaca Chico 3-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Feb 2024

Boyaca Chico
3-0 HT 1-0
Independiente Medellin
📅15/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Boyaca Chico vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boyaca Chico v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 38%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +12%
0.94/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.17
+12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.1 Crosses 13.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Boyaca Chico vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.94 xG 1.23
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
238 Passes 358
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.08.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
04.06.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
01.06.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
12.03.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
18.02.2021 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
12.10.2020 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL

Boyaca Chico 3-0 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
3-0
AWAY Independiente Medellin
2.40 xG 0.34
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
312 Passes 238
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boyaca Chico ran out comfortable winners over Independiente Medellin 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Boyaca Chico found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 55% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 45%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 2.40 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boyaca Chico had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boyaca Chico and 0.33 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Independiente Medellin?

Boyaca Chico 3-0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 37%, draw 27%, Independiente Medellin 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boyaca Chico) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boyaca Chico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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