Once Caldas vs Patriotas Boyaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Once Caldas v Patriotas Boyaca — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Patriotas Boyaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Once Caldas
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
2-2
HT 1-1
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
Once Caldas 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas nicked a narrow win over Patriotas Boyaca 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Once Caldas had 50% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 50%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.95 to 0.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Once Caldas's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Once Caldas and 0.83 for Patriotas Boyaca.
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Patriotas Boyaca?
Once Caldas 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Patriotas Boyaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 45%, draw 28%, Patriotas Boyaca 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.