Hartford Athletic 1-0 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 33% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.9pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.75/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.18
+10% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +84%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
17.2 Crosses 17.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Detroit City
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.48 xG 1.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
427 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 3-0 HT 2-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
15.06.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-3 HT 1-2 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
07.07.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 1-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
24.04.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
1-0
AWAY Detroit City
0.76 xG 0.85
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
228 Passes 395
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic squeezed past Detroit City 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hartford Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 39% of the ball to Detroit City's 61%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.76 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Detroit City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Hartford Athletic and 2.25 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City?

Hartford Athletic 1-0 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 38%, draw 24%, Detroit City 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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