New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
2-2
HT 1-2
New Mexico United
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
New Mexico United 1-2 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights nicked a narrow win over New Mexico United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was New Mexico United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 55% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 45%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.83 to 1.76.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for New Mexico United and 1.00 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?
New Mexico United 1-2 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 50%, draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.