Cork City 1-0 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.73
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
10%
6.66
X/2
15%
5.08
X/X
15%
4.58
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
17%
3.11
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.30/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.13
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
230 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 68%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
19.2 Crosses 25.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Galway United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.51 xG 0.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
214 Passes 171
65% Pass Accuracy 61%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.05.2025 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
14.02.2025 Cork City Cork City 2-2 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
16.01.2024 Cork City Cork City 0-4 HT 0-3 Galway United Galway United HAZ
16.09.2022 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
15.07.2022 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İR1
27.05.2022 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
1-0
AWAY Galway United
0.33 xG 0.88
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
183 Passes 253
61% Pass Accuracy 66%
8 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 34
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City edged past Galway United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cork City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cork City had 43% of the ball to Galway United's 57%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.33 to 0.88 — on chances, Galway United could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cork City and 1.67 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Galway United?

Cork City 1-0 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cork City 31%, draw 28%, Galway United 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Galway United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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