Galway United 2-1 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.89
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.28
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
20%
4.1
X/2
10%
9.46
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
26.0
2/2
9%
8.07
2/X
8%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
1.26/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.47
-29% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 64%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
28.0 Crosses 12.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cork City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.66 xG 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
174 Passes 174
64% Pass Accuracy 60%
12 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 5
14.02.2025 Cork City Cork City 2-2 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
16.01.2024 Cork City Cork City 0-4 HT 0-3 Galway United Galway United HAZ
16.09.2022 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
15.07.2022 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İR1
27.05.2022 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İR1
25.02.2022 Cork City Cork City 0-1 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
2-1
AWAY Cork City
0.80 xG 1.63
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
168 Passes 255
58% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United edged past Cork City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galway United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Galway United had 45% of the ball to Cork City's 55%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.80 to 1.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cork City.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Galway United and 0.67 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Cork City?

Galway United 2-1 Cork City in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Galway United 47%, draw 28%, Cork City 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galway United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galway United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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