Shelbourne 3-2 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.09
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.6
X/1
14%
4.06
X/2
6%
10.3
X/X
9%
5.32
2/1
12%
23.75
2/2
11%
8.6
2/X
6%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-0.9pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.44/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.43
-22% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 67%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
23.8 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 0.91
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
348 Passes 277
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-2 HT 1-2 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
27.09.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
10.08.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
31.05.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
01.03.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
26.08.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
3-2
AWAY Sligo Rovers
3.78 xG 0.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
29 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 9
399 Passes 335
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne nicked a narrow win over Sligo Rovers 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shelbourne had 53% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 47%, shots finished 29-12, expected goals 3.78 to 0.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shelbourne's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shelbourne and 0.83 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

Shelbourne 3-2 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 56%, draw 21%, Sligo Rovers 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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