St Patricks 2-2 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
15%
8.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.84
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.3
X/1
18%
4.06
X/2
6%
12.45
X/X
10%
6.49
2/1
9%
21.0
2/2
11%
9.94
2/X
5%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.57/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.76
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
23.8 Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 0.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
325 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
20.09.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
04.07.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
19.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
04.03.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 3-1 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
31.07.2022 St Patricks St Patricks 2-3 HT 2-3 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
2-2
AWAY Waterford FC
1.37 xG 1.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 11
232 Passes 260
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks and Waterford FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was St Patricks at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, St Patricks had 46% of the ball to Waterford FC's 54%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.37 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St Patricks and 1.50 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Waterford FC?

St Patricks 2-2 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 54%, draw 23%, Waterford FC 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St Patricks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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