St Patricks 1-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.5
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
15%
3.99
X/2
7%
7.96
X/X
12%
4.56
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
13%
6.48
2/X
8%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.42/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.28
-9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +90%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
15.4 Crosses 11.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
04.03.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 3-1 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
31.07.2022 St Patricks St Patricks 2-3 HT 2-3 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
19.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.08.2021 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
25.06.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
20.04.2021 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
1-1
AWAY Waterford FC
1.28 xG 0.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 198
77% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks and Waterford FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was St Patricks at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St Patricks had 60% of the ball to Waterford FC's 40%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.28 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St Patricks and 1.33 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Waterford FC?

St Patricks 1-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 43%, draw 27%, Waterford FC 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St Patricks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5
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