Bohemians 1-0 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 32% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.42
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
20%
4.07
X/2
7%
8.45
X/X
11%
4.57
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.73
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.2pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.18/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.23
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
257 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 64%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
22.0 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
293 Passes 211
69% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
22.01.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians IRLLSC
22.09.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
15.09.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-3 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
04.08.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 4-2 HT 2-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
21.04.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-0
AWAY Drogheda United
0.75 xG 0.62
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
375 Passes 249
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians nicked a narrow win over Drogheda United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bohemians had 57% of the ball to Drogheda United's 43%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.75 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bohemians and 1.33 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Drogheda United?

Bohemians 1-0 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 50%, draw 24%, Drogheda United 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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