Sligo Rovers 1-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.93
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
14%
4.53
X/2
12%
6.28
X/X
14%
3.85
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
13%
5.09
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.05/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.98
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
283 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 66%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
16.7 Crosses 19.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dundalk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.76 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
241 Passes 304
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-5 HT 0-4 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
20.10.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
11.08.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
06.05.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
07.04.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
21.10.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 3-3 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
1-1
AWAY Dundalk
0.93 xG 2.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
293 Passes 224
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers and Dundalk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 56% of the ball to Dundalk's 44%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 0.93 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.33 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

Sligo Rovers 1-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sligo Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 39%, draw 29%, Dundalk 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sligo Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sligo Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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