Dundalk 0-5 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.13
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
21%
4.57
X/2
9%
6.35
X/X
11%
4.14
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
8%
4.96
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
43%
+6.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.11/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.19
+19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 68%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.9 Crosses 16.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.00 xG 0.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 Passes 277
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
11.08.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
06.05.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
07.04.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
21.10.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 3-3 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
29.08.2022 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-3 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
0-5
AWAY Sligo Rovers
0.66 xG 1.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
323 Passes 167
69% Pass Accuracy 57%
14 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers cruised past Dundalk 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dundalk at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dundalk had 61% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 39%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.66 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dundalk and 0.83 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?

Dundalk 0-5 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 50%, draw 27%, Sligo Rovers 23%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dundalk), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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