Drogheda United 2-1 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

Drogheda United
2-1 HT 1-0
Bohemians
📅04/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Drogheda United vs Bohemians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.14
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
13%
7.4
X/2
11%
4.07
X/X
15%
4.23
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.68
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Drogheda United v Bohemians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -21%
1.46/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.93
-15% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
255 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 68%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.6 Crosses 16.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Drogheda United vs Bohemians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bohemians
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.09 xG 0.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
196 Passes 339
59% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.01.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians IRLLSC
22.09.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
15.09.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-3 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
04.08.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 4-2 HT 2-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
21.04.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
06.03.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 3-1 HT 2-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL

Drogheda United 2-1 Bohemians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
2-1
AWAY Bohemians
0.70 xG 1.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
185 Passes 245
65% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United nicked a narrow win over Bohemians 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Drogheda United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Drogheda United had 45% of the ball to Bohemians's 55%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.70 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Drogheda United and 2.17 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Bohemians?

Drogheda United 2-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 32%, draw 30%, Bohemians 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bohemians), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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