Shelbourne 1-0 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.3
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
13%
4.66
X/2
10%
6.17
X/X
16%
3.62
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
18%
5.02
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.04/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.45
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
13.6 Crosses 12.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Galway United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
13.08.2021 Galway United Galway United 3-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İR1
28.05.2021 Shelbourne Shelbourne 4-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İR1
26.03.2021 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İR1
28.08.2020 Galway United Galway United 2-5 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
05.07.2019 Galway United Galway United 0-3 HT 0-3 Shelbourne Shelbourne İR1
26.04.2019 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
1-0
AWAY Galway United
0.41 xG 0.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
345 Passes 231
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 36
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne edged past Galway United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Shelbourne found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shelbourne had 56% of the ball to Galway United's 44%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.41 to 0.95 — on chances, Galway United could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Shelbourne and 0.83 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Galway United?

Shelbourne 1-0 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 37%, draw 28%, Galway United 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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