Waterford FC 3-1 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.88
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
13%
6.35
X/2
13%
4.69
X/X
12%
4.07
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.18
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.25/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.25
+31% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
24.8 Crosses 18.4
4.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY St Patricks
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
31.07.2022 St Patricks St Patricks 2-3 HT 2-3 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
19.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.08.2021 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
25.06.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
20.04.2021 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
04.09.2020 Waterford FC Waterford FC 3-0 HT 2-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC got the better of St Patricks 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Waterford FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Waterford FC and 1.00 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs St Patricks?

Waterford FC 3-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waterford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 36%, draw 28%, St Patricks 36%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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