Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Shamrock Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Shamrock Rovers
İRL
1-0
HT 1-0
Derry City
İRL
0-2
HT 0-2
Shamrock Rovers
İRL
1-2
HT 1-1
Derry City
İRL
2-0
HT 2-0
Shamrock Rovers
İRSK
Derry City 1-3 Shamrock Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Shamrock Rovers beat Derry City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Shamrock Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Derry City had 45% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 55%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.19 to 2.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Derry City and 1.17 for Shamrock Rovers.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Derry City 1-3 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Derry City 37%, draw 27%, Shamrock Rovers 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.