Galway United 1-0 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.08
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.17
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.88
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
11%
4.86
X/2
13%
5.39
X/X
17%
3.46
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
18%
4.49
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
0.53/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.73
-31% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
233 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
25.0 Crosses 8.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.95 xG 0.41
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
231 Passes 345
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 12
36 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.03.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
13.08.2021 Galway United Galway United 3-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İR1
28.05.2021 Shelbourne Shelbourne 4-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İR1
26.03.2021 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İR1
28.08.2020 Galway United Galway United 2-5 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
05.07.2019 Galway United Galway United 0-3 HT 0-3 Shelbourne Shelbourne İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
1-0
AWAY Shelbourne
1.20 xG 0.55
28% Ball Possession 72%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
154 Passes 531
63% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United nicked a narrow win over Shelbourne 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Galway United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Galway United had 28% of the ball to Shelbourne's 72%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.20 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Galway United and 2.33 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Shelbourne?

Galway United 1-0 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Galway United 33%, draw 29%, Shelbourne 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shelbourne) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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