Waterford FC 1-0 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.73
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
10%
5.82
X/2
13%
5.51
X/X
7%
5.02
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.46
2/X
12%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.40/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.04
+45% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 69%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.3 Crosses 18.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY St Patricks
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.80 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
198 Passes 370
64% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
04.03.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 3-1 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
31.07.2022 St Patricks St Patricks 2-3 HT 2-3 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
19.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.08.2021 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
25.06.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
1-0
AWAY St Patricks
0.26 xG 0.93
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
217 Passes 343
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC nicked a narrow win over St Patricks 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Waterford FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Waterford FC had 42% of the ball to St Patricks's 58%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.26 to 0.93 — the balance of chances actually favoured St Patricks.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Waterford FC and 1.17 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs St Patricks?

Waterford FC 1-0 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 33%, draw 27%, St Patricks 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St Patricks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5
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