Galway United 1-1 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.76
6+ Goals
6%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.38
X/2
10%
6.74
X/X
12%
3.93
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2 EV+ ✗
23%
5.5
2/X
5%
14.65
Value flag · 2/2 at 5.5 — our 23% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
45%
-10.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
26%
+12.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
0.83/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.18
+0% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
279 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 66%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
22.2 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bohemians
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.52
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
141 Passes 295
52% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 38
17 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
01.04.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
07.10.2023 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
24.08.2018 Galway United Galway United 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
09.02.2018 Galway United Galway United 0-2 HT 0-2 Bohemians Bohemians HAZ
01.09.2017 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
1-1
AWAY Bohemians
1.75 xG 1.28
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
132 Passes 372
53% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United and Bohemians couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Galway United had 35% of the ball to Bohemians's 65%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.75 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Galway United and 1.33 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Bohemians?

Galway United 1-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Galway United 35%, draw 27%, Bohemians 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bohemians), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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