Drogheda United 1-1 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 34% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.32
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
10%
8.75
X/2
16%
3.94
X/X
13%
4.24
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.41
2/X
8%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+7.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 56%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
0.90/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.37
-9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
254 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 71%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.8 Crosses 12.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Shelbourne
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 1.39
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
166 Passes 405
61% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
05.04.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
03.11.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-4 HT 2-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
05.06.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
01.05.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
17.02.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
1-1
AWAY Shelbourne
1.45 xG 1.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
229 Passes 334
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United and Shelbourne shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shelbourne at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Drogheda United had 44% of the ball to Shelbourne's 56%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.45 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Drogheda United and 1.83 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Drogheda United 1-1 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 29%, draw 28%, Shelbourne 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shelbourne), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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