Shelbourne 1-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.5
X/1
19%
3.65
X/2
8%
9.65
X/X
11%
4.42
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
10%
8.49
2/X
7%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.53/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.22
+27% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 67%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
15.8 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Drogheda United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 0.79
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 Passes 181
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-2 HT 1-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
03.11.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-4 HT 2-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
05.06.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
01.05.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
17.02.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
28.10.2022 Shelbourne Shelbourne 6-0 HT 4-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
1-1
AWAY Drogheda United
2.34 xG 0.49
76% Ball Possession 24%
22 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
523 Passes 98
85% Pass Accuracy 50%
40 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne and Drogheda United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shelbourne at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Shelbourne had 76% of the ball to Drogheda United's 24%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 2.34 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Shelbourne and 1.17 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?

Shelbourne 1-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 53%, draw 23%, Drogheda United 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shelbourne), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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