Waterford FC 4-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.4
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 36% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
8%
4.86
X/2
13%
6.39
X/X
15%
3.89
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
15%
4.85
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
0.72/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.07
-23% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
19.0 Crosses 19.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dundalk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.69 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 Passes 289
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.09.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
29.10.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
03.09.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
11.06.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 1-3 HT 1-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
30.04.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
4-1
AWAY Dundalk
1.00 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 282
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC cruised past Dundalk 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Waterford FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waterford FC had 48% of the ball to Dundalk's 52%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.00 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Waterford FC and 1.33 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Dundalk?

Waterford FC 4-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waterford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 36%, draw 30%, Dundalk 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waterford FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waterford FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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