Derry City vs Bohemians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Bohemians — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Bohemians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Derry City
İRL
0-0
HT 0-0
Bohemians
İRL
0-1
HT 0-1
Derry City
İRL
0-1
HT 0-0
Bohemians
İRL
1-0
HT 1-0
Bohemians
İRL
Derry City 1-0 Bohemians — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City nicked a narrow win over Bohemians 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Derry City had 59% of the ball to Bohemians's 41%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.11 to 1.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bohemians.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Derry City and 0.83 for Bohemians.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Bohemians?
Derry City 1-0 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Derry City 48%, draw 29%, Bohemians 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.