Derry City vs Bohemians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Derry City v Bohemians — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Bohemians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 1-0 Bohemians — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City nicked a narrow win over Bohemians 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 46%, coin-flips both. At 1.63 (~61%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.
On the day, Derry City had 59% of the ball to Bohemians's 41%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.11 to 1.76 — by the quality of chances, Bohemians deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Derry City and 0.83 for Bohemians.
Derry City vs Bohemians Result & Final Score
Derry City 1 - 0 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Derry City vs Bohemians Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Derry City 65%, draw 22%, Bohemians 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.