Bohemians 2-1 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.74
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
11%
6.22
X/2
9%
4.72
X/X
15%
4.17
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.22
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
0.77/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.96
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 72%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
17.3 Crosses 16.1
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Derry City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
266 Passes 318
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 1-2 Derry City Derry City İRL
09.06.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
12.05.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
10.04.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
09.09.2022 Derry City Derry City 1-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
01.07.2022 Bohemians Bohemians 2-3 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
2-1
AWAY Derry City
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians nicked a narrow win over Derry City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Bohemians made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bohemians had 38% of the ball to Derry City's 62%, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bohemians and 1.17 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Derry City?

Bohemians 2-1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 36%, draw 29%, Derry City 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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