Galway United 0-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

Galway United
0-1 HT 0-0
Shamrock Rovers
📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.83
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
12%
6.24
X/2
15%
4.66
X/X
10%
4.1
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.21
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galway United v Shamrock Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -25%
1.07/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.21
-8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
– Crosses 21.4
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
The Meetings
23.07.2021 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United İRK
06.09.2019 Galway United Galway United 1-2 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRK
18.08.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-2 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
22.05.2017 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
13.03.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
23.09.2016 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-2 HT 2-1 Galway United Galway United İRL

Galway United 0-1 Shamrock Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
0-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.31 xG 2.18
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
125 Passes 442
58% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers squeezed past Galway United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Galway United had 28% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 72%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.31 to 2.18 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shamrock Rovers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Galway United and 2.33 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Galway United 0-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Galway United 33%, draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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