Dundalk 0-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.62
6+ Goals
12%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.09
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.81
X/2
16%
6.39
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
10%
4.59
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
1.05/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/0.46
+9% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 66%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.5 Crosses 12.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
29.10.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
03.09.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
11.06.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 1-3 HT 1-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
30.04.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
25.10.2020 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
0-0
AWAY Waterford FC
1.04 xG 0.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
289 Passes 272
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
11 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk and Waterford FC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dundalk had 51% of the ball to Waterford FC's 49%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.04 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundalk and 1.33 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Waterford FC?

Dundalk 0-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 40%, draw 25%, Waterford FC 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dundalk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Under 2.5
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