Shamrock Rovers 2-2 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.39
6+ Goals
8%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 31% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.8
X/1
21%
3.78
X/2
8%
10.7
X/X
9%
5.39
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
7%
8.49
2/X
7%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.1pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -25%
1.54/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.39
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
25.7 Crosses 13.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY St Patricks
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 0.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
378 Passes 206
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
09.02.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-1 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRSK
27.10.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
15.05.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
21.04.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
17.03.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2-2
AWAY St Patricks
1.92 xG 0.98
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
394 Passes 262
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
42 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers and St Patricks shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shamrock Rovers at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 59% of the ball to St Patricks's 41%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.92 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.17 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks?

Shamrock Rovers 2-2 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 56%, draw 24%, St Patricks 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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