St Patricks 2-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.75
Over 2.5
36%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.99
6+ Goals
7%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 39% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.04
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
7%
7.61
X/2
20%
4.18
X/X
14%
4.48
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.61
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
53%
+10.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
47%
-10.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.4pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.09/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.73
+2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
210 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 72%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
15.0 Crosses 18.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.74 xG 1.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
221 Passes 368
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.02.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-1 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRSK
27.10.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
15.05.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
21.04.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
17.03.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
21.10.2022 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-1 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
2-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.52 xG 1.61
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
131 Passes 458
58% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks edged past Shamrock Rovers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St Patricks had 30% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 70%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.52 to 1.61 — on chances, Shamrock Rovers could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St Patricks and 2.67 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers?

St Patricks 2-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 23%, draw 30%, Shamrock Rovers 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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