Drogheda United 2-2 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.14
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.92
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.39
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.35
X/1
8%
6.28
X/2
12%
4.41
X/X
12%
3.52
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.29
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +24%
1.34/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.64
-13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
24.6 Crosses 9.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shelbourne
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.61 xG 1.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
187 Passes 327
62% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-4 HT 2-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
05.06.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
01.05.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
17.02.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
28.10.2022 Shelbourne Shelbourne 6-0 HT 4-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
12.08.2022 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-1 HT 1-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
2-2
AWAY Shelbourne
1.58 xG 0.90
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
158 Passes 418
63% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United and Shelbourne shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shelbourne at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Drogheda United had 33% of the ball to Shelbourne's 67%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.58 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Drogheda United and 2.50 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Drogheda United 2-2 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 27%, draw 31%, Shelbourne 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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