Bohemians 0-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.75
6+ Goals
7%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 32% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
10%
4.33
X/2
10%
7.49
X/X
13%
4.58
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.72
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.20/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.04
+7% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +54%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.1 Crosses 13.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.10.2021 Bohemians Bohemians 1-2 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
22.10.2021 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
07.08.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
29.05.2021 Bohemians Bohemians 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.04.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
11.09.2020 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
0-1
AWAY Waterford FC
1.51 xG 0.38
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
311 Passes 169
74% Pass Accuracy 61%
32 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC squeezed past Bohemians 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bohemians had 61% of the ball to Waterford FC's 39%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.51 to 0.38 — on chances, Bohemians could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bohemians and 0.83 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Waterford FC?

Bohemians 0-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 46%, draw 26%, Waterford FC 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bohemians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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