Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Derry City v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Dundalk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Derry City 4-1 Dundalk — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City overpowered Dundalk 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: no to both teams scoring (60%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Derry City had 51% of the ball to Dundalk's 49%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.67 to 0.59.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Derry City and 0.83 for Dundalk.
Derry City vs Dundalk Result & Final Score
Derry City 4 - 1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Derry City 72%, draw 18%, Dundalk 9%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.