Sligo Rovers vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sligo Rovers v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Derry City
İRL
2-1
HT 1-1
Sligo Rovers
İRL
1-0
HT 1-0
Derry City
İRL
1-1
HT 0-1
Sligo Rovers
İRL
Sligo Rovers 2-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Sligo Rovers edged past Derry City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Sligo Rovers had 46% of the ball to Derry City's 54%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 1.34 to 1.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sligo Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sligo Rovers and 0.83 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Sligo Rovers 2-1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 25%, draw 28%, Derry City 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.