Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Sligo Rovers — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Derry City
İRL
2-1
HT 1-1
Sligo Rovers
İRL
1-0
HT 1-0
Derry City
İRL
1-1
HT 0-1
Sligo Rovers
İRL
0-0
HT 0-0
Derry City
İRL
Derry City 2-2 Sligo Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City and Sligo Rovers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Derry City at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Derry City had 72% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 28%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 3.19 to 0.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sligo Rovers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Derry City and 0.67 for Sligo Rovers.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?
Derry City 2-2 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Sligo Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Derry City 59%, draw 23%, Sligo Rovers 18%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.