Galway United 2-0 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.4
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.76
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
15%
4.08
X/2
7%
7.62
X/X
17%
3.7
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
15%
6.64
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.0pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.28/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.93
-44% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
24.6 Crosses 23.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dundalk
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.07 xG 1.45
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
142 Passes 443
59% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.02.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-2 HT 0-2 Galway United Galway United İRL
15.09.2023 Galway United Galway United 4-0 HT 4-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
27.10.2017 Galway United Galway United 3-4 HT 1-3 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
07.08.2017 Galway United Galway United 0-3 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRLK
26.06.2017 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
28.04.2017 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 1-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
2-0
AWAY Dundalk
1.03 xG 0.36
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
141 Passes 321
56% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United beat Dundalk 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galway United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Galway United had 37% of the ball to Dundalk's 63%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.03 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Galway United and 1.67 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Dundalk?

Galway United 2-0 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Galway United 42%, draw 31%, Dundalk 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galway United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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