Dundalk 0-2 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.48
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.8
6+ Goals
11%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.58
X/2
9%
6.59
X/X
13%
3.79
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
16%
5.27
2/X
5%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.95/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.28
+33% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 69%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.8 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Galway United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
15.09.2023 Galway United Galway United 4-0 HT 4-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
27.10.2017 Galway United Galway United 3-4 HT 1-3 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
07.08.2017 Galway United Galway United 0-3 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRLK
26.06.2017 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
28.04.2017 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 1-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
28.10.2016 Dundalk Dundalk 4-1 HT 3-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
0-2
AWAY Galway United
1.45 xG 2.07
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
443 Passes 142
80% Pass Accuracy 59%
28 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United saw off Dundalk 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dundalk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dundalk had 70% of the ball to Galway United's 30%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.45 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dundalk and 1.67 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Galway United?

Dundalk 0-2 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 44%, draw 25%, Galway United 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dundalk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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