Shelbourne 2-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.45
Over 2.5
46%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.9
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.56
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
10%
6.48
X/2
12%
4.41
X/X
11%
3.47
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.24
2/X
10%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.8pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
65%
-11.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
35%
+11.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -23%
0.81/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.93
-18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 80%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
12.3 Crosses 19.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.40 xG 1.02
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
243 Passes 478
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
11.08.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
14.04.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
10.03.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
09.10.2022 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-2 HT 1-2 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
22.09.2022 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
2-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.48 xG 1.75
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
172 Passes 478
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne nicked a narrow win over Shamrock Rovers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Shelbourne had 31% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 69%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.48 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shelbourne and 1.17 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?

Shelbourne 2-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 31%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
23 Feb 2024
22:45 Dundalk vs Galway United Analysis →
22:45 St Patricks vs Bohemians Analysis →
22:45 Drogheda United vs Waterford FC Analysis →