St Patricks 0-1 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.43
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
12%
12.75
X/1
16%
5.27
X/2
14%
5.97
X/X
12%
4.48
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
14%
4.1
2/X
4%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
0.77/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.93
-24% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.6 Crosses 18.7
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bohemians
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
228 Passes 292
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 3-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
20.10.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
11.08.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
14.04.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-3 HT 1-3 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
10.03.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
14.10.2022 St Patricks St Patricks 3-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
0-1
AWAY Bohemians
0.68 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
314 Passes 266
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians squeezed past St Patricks 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Bohemians made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, St Patricks had 53% of the ball to Bohemians's 47%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.68 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St Patricks and 1.00 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Bohemians?

St Patricks 0-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 38%, draw 28%, Bohemians 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St Patricks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
23 Feb 2024
22:45 Dundalk vs Galway United Analysis →
22:45 Drogheda United vs Waterford FC Analysis →
22:45 Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers Analysis →